6 February 2023 Market Brief
Jobs report runs hot in the US
Does that set up an interesting week ahead of earnings? BTC leaps higher and the correlation with equities starts to break. Can it keep up the momentum or are things overstretched?
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Does that set up an interesting week ahead of earnings? BTC leaps higher and the correlation with equities starts to break. Can it keep up the momentum or are things overstretched?
Does that set up an interesting week ahead of earnings? BTC leaps higher and the correlation with equities starts to break. Can it keep up the momentum or are things overstretched?
Cooling inflation sees a bid in risk. Talk of a soft landing seems more plausible. But which markets are looking a bit over-stretched?
Will we see a pick-up in volatility as traders return to desks? Gold, though, has been on the move. Can it continue its upwards trajectory?
Could we see a volatile festive period? The SPX rejects a key technical area…Are there enough greenback bulls to regain the trend?
Santa ‘Pause’ or Santa Claus coming to markets? A big week with the FOMC, US CPI, and ECB and BOE. Which direction are markets poised to break next?
Will that provide a twist to the ‘peak USD’ tale? Equities have been rallying…But which major index could be about to turn?
Will a favourable report help support a ‘Santa Claus rally? There are calls that we’ve seen ‘peak USD’...Which G10 FX pair is outperforming its peers and why?
But as other exchanges come under pressure, is the worst yet to come? A shorter week for US markets due to Thanksgiving…But which markets still look prime for a move?
Is this the start of a ‘crypto crisis’? Equities soar as US inflation cools. And has the market flipped to short USD?
The recent equity rally looks to be over. Does long USD remain ‘the trade’? Promising signs for BTC bulls?
Will the hawkish rhetoric continue? Tech stocks got hit hard (except for Twitter, wonder why). Is the correlation with BTC breaking?
UK political turbulence and market volatility continue…Will the Bank of Japan intervene in the currency market again? How are you managing risk if trading the JPY?
FedEx earnings & US inflation data concerns markets. Sellers re-take control of risk assets and we’ve got the small matter of Fed week awaiting…
Will the BoJ intervene again? US equities continue to slide as the Fed remains hawkish and is a breakout imminent for BTC?
Are there any buyers of the GBP out there? Does the term ‘DONT FIGHT THE FED’ make for the current play? Will the SPX follow the Dow and break its current yearly lows?
FedEx earnings & US inflation data concerns markets. Sellers re-take control of risk assets and we’ve got the small matter of Fed week awaiting…
Expect volatility from another big data release. Risk assets rallied across the board late in the week. The BIG question is, can it be sustained?
A 75bps hike looking a certainty? For this reason, the Euro has been holding up for now. While the Cable…well, there are calls for parity?
Sellers have re-emerged across the risk. Markets were pricing in a Fed pivot…Turns out they were wrong, bullish for the USD?
Further market volatility could be expected. The USD bulls re-entered the room. This has left many pairs threatening new lows, which will break first…
Are traders being too optimistic or is the bear market over? The Aussie Dollar enjoyed the tailwinds of a risk-on rally…But is BTC facing some stiff headwinds at key resistance?
Will the hot NFP numbers leave the Fed feeling more inflation heat? The Pound couldn’t find a bid despite the largest rate hike in 27 years…And what will it take for the Euro to break from it’s recent range?
But will jobs data still continue to look strong in this week's NFP’s? Recession fears have traders buying Gold…Will the shiny metal sustain its recent rally?
Are we set for a volatile week before ‘summer markets’ kick in? The Euro has been holding at parity…Will we see more USD weakness if the Fed provides a dovish tilt?
How big will they go with the rate hike this week? Italy is facing another political crisis…More bad news for the Euro?
How damaging has inflation been and can we expect further volatility? Equities rallied last week…Another opportunity for bears to jump on?
Will signs continue to point towards a US recession? The Aussie Dollar is posting new yearly lows…Are USD bulls back in the room?
Turning point or another rally to sell? More key economic indicators to watch for this week…Which ones are the main ones to watch out for?
But has Sunday’s resurgence saved BTC… for now? A chaotic week in markets passes…What else will Fed chair Powell has to say this week?
How will the Fed react this week? Gold’s price action on Friday was interesting…Is it finally ready to act as a true inflation hedge?
Will this keep the US CPI at uneasily high levels? The Euro and Aussie have been finding a bid…What would a central bank surprise look like this week?
Is there more in Friday’s move in equities or are bears ready to sell the rip? Cryptos came under more pressure this week…However, BTC held up quite well, with promising signs?
How will markets react this week? Risk-off sentiment remains…Sellers to remain in control of equities?
Are the dip buyers ready to step in? Gold bugs have disappeared again…And are US equities set to continue their move lower?
Will they settle following last week's event driven’ moves? Risk assets have been selling off. BTC is now testing long term support, can it hold?
But will this be a typical ‘buy the rumour, sell the fact’ event? USD bulls are in full control of FX markets and don’t forget the small matter of NFP on Friday!
Are equities set for another leg down? Inflation data out of Australia is of interest for once…With the AUD back in freefall mode, how will the print change things?
Will the USD continue to take advantage of the rise in yields? Gold is looking to break higher…Can the shiny metal retest the recent ‘invasion’ highs?
Will the ECB be forced to join the hawkish Fed? Risk assets sold off and Cryptos are once again heading south…Elsewhere Gold continues to contract, which way will it break next?
Will this give risk assets another boost this week? The US is releasing an unprecedented amount of their own oil reserves…But will it be enough to suppress crude prices?
But should they be? The Yen has been keeping FX interesting…and is Gold ready for another run?
Bottom in or is this a chance for bears to sell the rip? Markets digest the Fed’s first rate hike since ‘18. Have we reached ‘peak hawkishness’ from Central Banks?
Will we see any more ‘short squeezes’ this week? It’s also Fed week and a rate hike is expected…Fed Chair J Powell’s press conference may be of more interest to markets.
Will the imposed sanctions by the West have a long-lasting effect? Investors have hit the exit button on European assets…The DAX and Euro are in freefall - can they catch a bid?
How will markets continue to digest such a rapidly developing situation? So far they have been as volatile as expected. Is there any light at the end of the tunnel?
Expect continued volatility. What does this move in Gold tell us? BTC is back below 40k - where to from here?
All eyes on developments between Russia and Ukraine. Is this the catalyst Gold needed for a break? How will cryptos perform with the war threat looming?
How will markets digest the latest data? The ECB becomes the latest central bank to turn hawkish…Will the Euro sustain the move higher?
Will the RBA, BoE or ECB provide any surprises? Markets are holding up but heightened volatility is in the air…Have we seen the lows posted in this correction?
Sell-offs across the board - is there more to come? Cryptos have sold off even more aggressively…Is this evidence they are simply a high-risk speculative asset?
Markets seem content that it wasn’t ‘hotter’. A weak USD has FX markets on the move…Can the Euro sustain the breakout of its Dec/Jan range?
Is the scene set for what’s to come? Cryptos have been under real pressure…Is Bitcoin set to retest the 2021 lows from here?
With 40-year high inflation in the U.S., how will the Fed respond? Will the Fed continue to shift more hawkishly? Why have crypto markets not enjoyed the ‘risk on’ bounce?
Markets look fragile as Powell recognises inflation isn’t ‘transitory’. Cryptos continued their sell-off with some aggressive moves lower...Will market sentiment continue to be ‘risk off’ this week?
Markets had their own ‘Black Friday’ but are all the selling now out of the way? Bitcoin is back in the bear market territory (>20% off its recent highs)...How will the ‘risk off’ sentiment affect markets this week?
Will this start the trend for the rest of Europe to follow? Are Governments going to further damage economies? How will markets react this time?
Markets continue to trade near highs but are there volatility around the corner? Bitcoin moved lower after the U.S. CPI print while Gold broke higher…So which one is the true ‘inflation hedge?
Any news is good news as the S&P 500 climbs to more new highs. Bank of England surprised markets by holding back on a rate hike...Has the Cable seen the worst of the ‘pain trade’?
Will they become the first ‘major’ central bank to raise rates this week? Bitcoin and Ether continue to trade around their ATH’s...Expect more heightened volatility?
How will they react to continued inflationary pressures? Bitcoin endured quite a volatile week...Will the weekly close below the previous ATH be telling?
Will the strong start to earnings season be maintained? Bitcoin’s ETF approval rumours heat up...Will it be another ‘buy the rumour, sell the fact?
Are we set to see new all-time highs posted this week? Hawkish or dovish? How will markets digest the NFP miss but unemployment drop?
Is volatility set to stick around for a while longer? FX markets have livened up with key technical breaks on some huge assets...Will this week's NFP report adds fuel to the breakouts?
Will a collapse cause systemic risk to the markets? As well, China’s crackdown on crypto intensifies...Are we set for more downside pressure this week?
Will the Fed, BoJ or the BoE take centre stage? Eyes will be focused more on the Fed...After recent mixed U.S. data, will we see any surprises?
Will that give the Fed a nudge for next week's FOMC meet? Cryptos endured another mini correction early in the week...Will El Salvador’s adoption of Bitcoin as a currency prove to be a success?
Volatility has emerged as the German Index undergoes a makeshift. Markets were indecisive post the big NFP miss...How will traders digest the numbers this week?
Will markets be able to sustain continuous new all-time highs? The Greenback sold off post Jackson Hole summit...Is a shift in momentum on the cards?
Is taper talk going to send some ripples through markets? The Greenback is catching a bid...Key FX crosses look to break their yearly lows - is more pain in store?
Will FX markets see follow-through from Friday’s USD sell-off? Crypto markets look in the mood for a rip higher again...What are the next key levels ahead for BTC and ETH?
Is this market set to take off from here? A strong NFP report suggests the Fed could start to taper soon...What is the next major lookout for traders to watch out for?
Will the rise of Delta cause further concern for investors? Bitcoin appears to have broken the range barrier...Is this market set to take off from here?
Fed week is upon us again - will last month’s hawkish tilt continue? A busy week on the calendar front awaits...Large-cap earnings + lots of key data = more volatility to be expected?
Will this lead to any other changes in policy at the meeting this week? Markets digest a hotter than expected U.S. inflation print...Will any surprises in earnings season trigger further volatility?
Will further inflation data this week heighten volatility? Bitcoin spends the week in the bottom of its range... Will the bears push this market below key support?
Bulls firmly in control as U.S. equities continue to post new highs. A quiet start to the week expected with the U.S. enjoying a national holiday...Are the USD bulls back in the room?
Markets stabilise after the FOMC - are they poised to rip from here? NFP has sprung about quite quickly again...Fed keeps talking about seeing job improvements - how will this report move markets?
Volatility has entered markets and big moves could be in play. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s shift in stance...Are we in for a period of heightened volatility now?
After a non-event ECB meeting can the Fed provide the market direction? With FX volatility nowhere to be seen and indices looking sketchy at their highs...Will this week's FOMC meeting provide a spark to the markets?
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